Disentangling the Impacts of Exotic Plants and Habitat Disturbance on Native Plant Richness and Abundance

Abstract

Invasive plants are widely cited as a major threat to native plant communities, and the correlation between plant invasions and a subsequent decline in native species is well documented at some scales. However, one outstanding question is the degree to which invasive species are a driver of native plant declines versus a correlate of other drivers, such as habitat disturbance. These two hypotheses to explain the dominance of invasive species in communities have been termed the ‘driver’ and ‘passenger’ models, respectively. In order to understand the impacts of plant invasion on native plants we need more studies that consider the role of correlated environmental predictors, which may play unseen roles in the response and recovery of native plant communities frequently attributed to invasion alone. Using a large database of plant community and environmental data from sites across Southern Ontario, I used path analyses to examine the direct and indirect relationships between disturbance, exotic and native plant richness, and relative abundance. Counter to my initial predictions, I found support for both the partial passenger and partial driver models of invasive dominance, while full passenger models were outright rejected. The causal hypotheses consistent with the data indicated significant relationships between native and exotic species richness and native and exotic relative abundance across models. An exploratory analysis, which examined species-specific models, found that the data was consistent with seven out of twelve causal hypotheses. Models that could not be rejected were split almost evenly across full passenger, partial passenger, and partial driver models. Model support varied according to the species included in the dataset suggesting that the best fit underlying model of invasive dominance likely varies by species. While the partial passenger and partial driver models were recurrently consistent with the data, no single model described the underlying patterns of invasive dominance across all systems.