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Leveraging Overtime Hours to Fit an Additional Arthroplasty Surgery Per Day: A Feasibility Study

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Université d'Ottawa / University of Ottawa

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CC0 1.0 Universal

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in the cancellation of many hip and knee replacements, creating a backlog of patients on top of an existing long waiting list. To reduce wait lists with no financial burden, we aim to evaluate the possibility of leveraging our previous efficiency-improving work to add an additional case to a typical 4-joint day with no extra cost. To do this, 761 total operation days were analyzed from 2012 to 2019, capturing variables such as case number, success (completion of 4 cases before 3:45pm), and patient out of room time. Linear regression was used on 301 successful days to predict 5th cases, while overtime hours saved were calculated from the remaining unsuccessful days. Different cost distributions were then analyzed for a 77% 4-joint day success rate (our baseline), and a 100% 4-joint day success rate. Our predictions show that increasing performance to a 77% success rate can lead to approximately 35 extra cases per year at our institution, while a 100% success rate can produce 56 extra cases per year. Overall, this shows the extent of resources wasted by overtime costs, and the potential for their use in reducing wait times. Future work can explore optimal staffing procedures to account for these extra cases.

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Keywords

Arthroplasty, Machine Learning, OR Efficiency, Linear Regression, Hip and Knee Replacements

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